NHL Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Predictions

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 9:00pm EST at Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Pittsburgh

Penguins

Moneyline +170
@
Colorado

Avalanche

4-2-1
Moneyline -205
40% 60%
Spread Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 Colorado Avalanche -1.5
Moneyline Pittsburgh Penguins +170 Colorado Avalanche -205
Total Over 6.5 (-130) Under 6.5 (+110)
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Penguins vs. Avalanche Prediction: Colorado Likely Wins, but Pass at -192

Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 7:31 AM CDT

The Avalanche entered with the NHL’s second-highest scoring average, but the available information does not justify their steep home price.

Colorado has the stronger scoring case

Colorado entered 4-2-1 and averaging 4.43 goals per game, second in the NHL, according to Colorado Avalanche / NHL.com. The Avalanche had also scored a league-high 16 second-period goals, while Nathan MacKinnon had 12 points through seven games. Those numbers make Colorado the likelier winner against a Pittsburgh team that entered 3-3-1 after a 5-3 loss in Chicago.

Pittsburgh still has players who can challenge the favorite. Pittsburgh Penguins / NHL.com projected Bryan Rust with Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell after the full team practiced Thursday, though the lineup wasn't confirmed. Rust had recorded a point in nine straight games against Colorado, and Evgeni Malkin had 27 points in 25 career meetings with the Avalanche.

Betting outlook

Colorado's -192 moneyline requires more certainty than the available information provides. Neither starting goaltender was confirmed, and Pittsburgh's lineup remained projected. Colorado should win more often, but the price leaves too little room for those unknowns.

The Avalanche are also -1.5 on the puck line, while the total is 6.5 with the over at -118 and the under at -102. Colorado's early scoring supports an offensive matchup, but without confirmed goaltenders there isn't a strong enough case for the puck line or total. Pass.

Pick Colorado Avalanche
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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