Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets Predictions
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00pm EST at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Jets
Who wins this game?
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Raiders vs. Jets Prediction: New York Favored in a Tight Market
Analysis updated November 1, 2026 at 7:10 AM CST
New York is the likely winner at -125, while Las Vegas brings the NFL's sixth-ranked scoring offense to MetLife Stadium.
Raiders vs. Jets outlook
The Jets are -1.5 and -125 at home despite entering at 2-5. The New York Jets report that New York has lost four one-possession games, while the 3-4 Raiders have dropped four straight. That record makes the Jets a reasonable but unconvincing favorite.
Las Vegas ranks sixth in scoring at 26.1 points per game. Kirk Cousins leads the NFL with 16 touchdown passes and ranks third with 1,877 passing yards, giving the Raiders a clear way to challenge a short favorite.
The matchup through the air
The Raiders' offense depends heavily on Cousins because its running game ranks 31st in both yards per game at 74.7 and yards per play at 3.01. Las Vegas could struggle to sustain drives if New York limits downfield passes.
Jets quarterback Geno Smith has completed 70.0% of his passes with a 105.2 passer rating. His 61.1% completion rate on throws traveling at least 20 air yards gives New York the passing efficiency to answer Cousins.
Betting verdict
New York is the likely winner, but neither the Jets' -1.5 spread nor their -125 moneyline offers a clear edge without confirmed starter and injury information. The total is 46.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112, but no weather information is available. Pass on the game.