Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies Predictions
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Grizzlies
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Hornets vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Turnovers Make Charlotte a Risky Favorite
Analysis updated October 16, 2026 at 7:24 AM CDT
The Hornets are favored in Friday's preseason finale, but their turnover rate and uncertain rotations weaken the case for laying 3.5 points or paying -142.
Charlotte's turnovers raise the risk
Charlotte has committed 69 turnovers through three preseason games, according to NBA news site Rookie Wire via AOL. That 23.0-per-game average makes the Hornets difficult to back as 3.5-point road favorites, even after a 15-point preseason win over Milwaukee. Charlotte's other two games were losses to Brooklyn and Boston.
Projected lineups leave key questions
Rookie Wire via AOL projects Charlotte to start Dennis Schroder, Grayson Allen, Brandon Miller, Naz Reid and Moussa Diabate. Memphis' projected starters are Ty Jerome, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Cameron Boozer and Zach Edey, but neither lineup is confirmed for the teams' final preseason game. Uncertain minutes make the spread and 231.5 total harder to assess.
Prediction
SportsPicksForum prices Charlotte at -142 on the moneyline and Memphis at +120, making the Hornets the likelier winner at FedExForum. The market's view isn't enough to justify the price without confirmed lineups, and Charlotte's turnover record adds risk. Pass on the moneyline and spread.