Chicago
White Sox
Moneyline
-118
MLB Predictions
Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals Predictions
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 7:40pm EST at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
@
Kansas City
Royals
Moneyline
-102
50%
50%
Spread
Chicago White Sox -1.5
Kansas City Royals +1.5
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox -118
Kansas City Royals -102
Total
Over 8.5 (-109)
Under 8.5 (-110)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
5 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Rich Roth
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Carlos Nunez
Money pick
Abe Howland
Money pick
White Sox vs. Royals Prediction: Fedde's ERA Edge Doesn't Settle the Bet
Analysis updated September 22, 2026 at 11:11 PM CDT
The probable pitchers favor a cautious Chicago pick. They don't establish value at the available price.
Probable pitchers give Chicago a slight edge
Erick Fedde's listed 3.90 ERA is lower than Seth Lugo's 5.06, the clearest reason to lean toward Chicago at SPF's -112 moneyline price. Chicago Sports Wire, a Chicago sports publication, lists the two right-handers as probable starters for September 23 at Kauffman Stadium and cautions that assignments can change.
That ERA comparison makes the White Sox a tentative winner pick, but it doesn't establish whether their chance of winning exceeds the roughly 52.8% needed to break even at -112. Without confirmed lineups or current bullpen information, the moneyline recommendation is Pass.
Total and run line
SPF lists the total at 8.5, with the over at -107 and under at -113. The pitchers' ERAs alone don't support a scoring forecast without lineup, bullpen and weather context, so neither side warrants a bet.
Chicago is -1.5 and Kansas City +1.5 on the run line. Run-line prices are unavailable, making that market a pass as well.
Pick
Chicago White Sox
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass