NBA Predictions

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Predictions

Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:30pm EST at Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX

Denver

Nuggets

Spread +8.5
@
Houston

Rockets

Spread -8.5
50% 50%
Spread Denver Nuggets +8.5 Houston Rockets -8.5
Moneyline Denver Nuggets +276 Houston Rockets -344
Total Over 217.5 (-110) Under 217.5 (-110)

Who wins this game?

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction: Wait for Denver’s Lineup

Analysis updated November 9, 2026 at 2:00 AM CST

Houston is -359 on the SPF moneyline and favored by 8.5 points, but Denver’s long injury list makes both prices difficult to assess before game time.

Denver’s availability drives the market

The NBA lists Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson and DeMar DeRozan as questionable for Monday’s 8:30 p.m. ET game. Julian Strawther is out with a left knee sprain. With so many important Nuggets unresolved, Houston is the likely winner, but Denver’s lineup could change the value of the -8.5 spread.

The Denver Gazette reported that a plane issue kept the Nuggets in Mexico City until shortly before 4 p.m. Sunday after their Saturday win over Indiana. The disrupted trip gives Denver little recovery time before playing in Houston and adds risk to backing the Nuggets before their active lineup is known.

Houston’s frontcourt is also depleted

The NBA lists Steven Adams out with a right soleus strain and Clint Capela out with a right ankle sprain. Those absences could matter most if Jokic plays, so Denver’s injury news affects both sides of the matchup.

Houston entered this game 7-3 after a Saturday loss at Phoenix, according to the Denver Gazette. The Rockets are -359 on the SPF moneyline, while Denver is +286. Houston should win more often, but that price offers little return in a game with major lineup uncertainty.

The total is 217.5, and there is no reliable evidence on expected starters or recent statistical trends to support an over or under wager. The spread and total are both passes until Denver’s availability becomes clearer.

Pick Houston Rockets
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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