UMass Lowell River
Hawks
Spread
+9.5
NCAAB Predictions
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Merrimack Warriors Predictions
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00pm EST
@
Merrimack
Warriors
Spread
-9.5
50%
50%
Spread
UMass Lowell River Hawks +9.5
Merrimack Warriors -9.5
Moneyline
UMass Lowell River Hawks +340
Merrimack Warriors -440
Total
Over 140.5 (-105)
Under 140.5 (-115)
Who wins this game?
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UMass Lowell at Merrimack prediction: Roster turnover makes -340 a pass
Analysis updated November 5, 2026 at 7:38 AM CST
Merrimack returns more scoring and had the better defense last season, but neither edge supports a bet at the SPF price.
Merrimack has the stronger starting point
Merrimack hosts UMass Lowell at Lawler Arena on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. SPF lists the Warriors at -340 on the moneyline and -7.5 against the spread. UMass Lowell is +270 and +7.5, while the total is 141.5 with the over at -105 and the under at -115.
The Low Post, a college basketball publication, reports that Merrimack returns 29% of its 2025-26 scoring, compared with 9% for UMass Lowell. The Warriors also allowed 66.5 points per game last season, while the River Hawks allowed 76.3. Those figures make Merrimack the more likely winner.
The price requires more certainty
Current starters, injuries and recent results aren't available, and both teams must replace most of last season's scoring. That makes the previous season's averages less useful for judging whether Merrimack should cover 7.5 points or win often enough to justify -340.
The reported 50-50 betting split is a default figure rather than measured public action, so it doesn't strengthen either side. With no dependable information on the rebuilt rosters, the moneyline, spread and total are all passes.
Pick
Merrimack Warriors
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass