NBA Predictions

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers Predictions

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:30pm EST at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Atlanta

Hawks

3-4
Spread -5.5
@
Indiana

Pacers

2-5
Spread +5.5
50% 50%
Spread Atlanta Hawks -5.5 Indiana Pacers +5.5
Moneyline Atlanta Hawks -198 Indiana Pacers +164
Total Over 232.5 (-110) Under 232.5 (-110)

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Hawks vs. Pacers Prediction: Atlanta Favored, but Injuries Point to a Pass

Analysis updated November 2, 2026 at 1:16 AM CST

The short-handed Pacers are playing on consecutive nights, while the Hawks may be without Jalen Johnson. Atlanta is the likely winner, but neither its -198 moneyline nor the spread offers a clear wager.

Indiana’s absences favor Atlanta

Atlanta visits Indiana on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite. The Hawks are -198 on the moneyline, the Pacers are +164, and the total is 232.5.

Indiana is 2-5 and has lost four straight, including Sunday’s 98-90 home loss to Brooklyn. The Pacers must now play for a second consecutive night without Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy and Ivica Zubac. Those absences make Atlanta the more likely winner, but -198 leaves little room for the favorite to struggle.

The Indiana Pacers / NBA.com preview lists Aaron Nesmith as probable with a left hamstring strain and Obi Toppin as questionable with lower-back soreness. Toppin has missed two games, leaving more uncertainty around an already reduced Indiana rotation.

Johnson’s status limits Atlanta’s appeal

Atlanta is 3-4 after losing 121-99 at New Orleans on Saturday. The Hawks have dropped four of five since a 2-0 start, which makes laying 5.5 points on the road difficult despite Indiana’s injury problems.

Jalen Johnson is questionable with a left ankle sprain after averaging 18.1 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.9 assists through seven games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads Atlanta with 19.3 points per game, but Johnson’s uncertain availability removes a key reason to pay the favorite’s price.

Atlanta should benefit from Indiana’s short rest and long injury list, so the Hawks remain the likely winner. The available evidence doesn’t support a wager on the moneyline, spread or total before Johnson’s status is settled. Pass.

Pick Atlanta Hawks
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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