Boston
Red Sox
Moneyline
+113
MLB Predictions
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Predictions
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
@
New York
Yankees
Moneyline
-136
67%
33%
Spread
Boston Red Sox +1.5
New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox +113
New York Yankees -136
Total
Over 6.5 (-122)
Under 6.5 (+101)
Professional Picks
5 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Rich Roth
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Money pick
Kevin McHughe
Total pick
Simon Says
Total pick
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: New York Is the Likely Winner, but Pass at -141
Analysis updated September 30, 2026 at 7:08 AM CDT
New York dominated Game 1, but the available evidence doesn’t justify paying the favorite’s price in Game 2.
Game outlook
New York enters Game 2 with a 1-0 series lead after beating Boston 9-0 at Yankee Stadium. AS USA reported that Ben Rice hit two home runs and drove in six runs, while the Red Sox managed three hits. That result makes the Yankees the likelier winner, but one game isn’t enough to justify a bet at -141.
Fubo News lists right-hander Sonny Gray for Boston and left-hander Max Fried for New York as the probable starters. Without current performance data for either pitcher, there isn’t a supported starting-pitching advantage to price into the wager.
Why the price is too high
AP News reported that Aaron Judge is unavailable for the series because of a right-calf strain. Boston also reinstated left-hander Garrett Crochet from the 60-day injured list and has him available from the bullpen. Those roster details add risk to backing New York at -141 despite its Game 1 dominance.
Boston is +117 on the moneyline, but missing performance data isn’t a reason to back the underdog. The Yankees are also -1.5 on the run line, Boston is +1.5, and the total is 6.5. There isn’t enough evidence to support either the run line or the total, so the betting decision is Pass.
Pick
New York Yankees
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass