New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 7:30pm EST at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Maple Leafs
0-1-0Professional Picks On This Game
No professional picks are available for this matchup.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Favored, but Pass at -120
Analysis updated September 30, 2026 at 7:06 AM CDT
Ilya Sorokin is expected to start for New York, while conflicting reports on Mathew Barzal's status add uncertainty to Toronto's -120 price.
Toronto's price leaves little room for uncertainty
Toronto returns home after a 3-2 loss to Montreal in its season opener. SportsLine / RotoWire reported that William Nylander scored both Maple Leafs goals. New York will be playing its first regular-season game.
SportsPicksForum makes Toronto a -120 moneyline favorite, with New York at +100. The Maple Leafs are -1.5 on the puck line, and the total is 5.5. Toronto is the likelier winner at home, but the available evidence doesn't justify paying -120.
Sorokin starts, but Barzal's status is unclear
SportsLine / RotoWire reported that Ilya Sorokin would start for the Islanders. A confirmed goalie gives New York some stability, but Toronto's starter has not been confirmed in the available reporting.
Fubo News lists Mathew Barzal out with a knee injury, while the SportsLine / RotoWire injury section lists no injuries for either team. That conflict makes New York's lineup difficult to project and rules out a confident wager on either side.
Prediction
Toronto is the low-confidence pick to win, but the betting lean is Pass. There isn't enough reliable lineup or recent-form information to support the moneyline, puck line or total at the SportsPicksForum prices.