MLB Predictions

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Predictions

Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 1:40pm EST at Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota

New York

Yankees

Moneyline -144
@
Minnesota

Twins

Moneyline +119
50% 50%
Spread New York Yankees -1.5 Minnesota Twins +1.5
Moneyline New York Yankees -144 Minnesota Twins +119
Total Over 8 (-111) Under 8 (-109)

Who wins this game?

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Yankees vs. Twins Prediction: Rodón Gives New York the Edge at -144

Analysis updated September 15, 2026 at 11:02 PM CDT

New York gets a tentative nod with Rodón scheduled to start. The moneyline wager is a pass.

Probable pitchers and the price

Carlos Rodón's 2.94 ERA against Zebby Matthews' 4.98 gives the Yankees a starting-pitching edge for Wednesday's game at Minnesota. SPF lists New York at -144 and the Twins at +119, but that ERA gap alone doesn't establish that the favorite is worth the price.

NYC Sports Wire, a New York sports publication, lists left-hander Rodón (6-3) and right-hander Matthews (9-10) as the probable starters for the September 16 game at Target Field, scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The outlet cautions that probable starters can change on short notice.

Betting decision

If both pitchers start, New York is the tentative winner pick. A -144 bet needs a win probability above roughly 59% to break even; the pitcher records and ERAs don't establish that threshold. Pass on the moneyline.

SPF's total is 8, with the over at -111 and under at -109. Without confirmed lineups or a fuller assessment of the offenses and bullpens, there's no supported total wager or exact-score prediction.

Pick New York Yankees
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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