Utah State
Aggies
Spread
+14.5
NCAAF Predictions
Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats Predictions
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 7:30pm EST at UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX
@
Texas State
Bobcats
Spread
-14.5
50%
50%
Spread
Utah State Aggies +14.5
Texas State Bobcats -14.5
Moneyline
Utah State Aggies +470
Texas State Bobcats -650
Total
Over 59.5 (-105)
Under 59.5 (-115)
Professional Picks
3 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Utah State at Texas State Prediction: Bobcats Favored, but Pass at -13.5
Analysis updated October 24, 2026 at 3:12 AM CDT
Texas State has the better listed passing and rushing production, while Utah State has several confirmed absences. The Bobcats are the likely winner, but the available evidence does not justify laying 13.5 points or paying -535.
Texas State has the stronger playmakers
Texas State quarterback Brad Jackson is listed with 1,439 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. Utah State's Grady Brosterhous has 914 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Those numbers favor the Bobcats, but 106.9 FM / 1390 AM The Fan did not confirm either player as the starter for this game.
Texas State running back Torrance Burgess Jr. has gained 838 yards on 108 carries, an average of 7.8 yards, with five touchdowns. Utah State's Javen Jacobs has 393 yards on 70 carries and two scores. Burgess is the clearest reason to expect Texas State to win, especially with Utah State missing linebackers Diego Grateron, Harrison Taggart and Dakota Howell, plus defensive lineman Joshua Papu.
Why the wager is a pass
Kickoff Status, a college football availability tracker, reported late Friday that Howell, offensive lineman John Randle and receiver Rex Haynes had moved from questionable to out. Texas State also has unresolved absences: running back Davian Jackson, defensive linemen Donterry Russell and Jo'Laison Landry, and offensive lineman JP Deeter are questionable.
The SPF line makes Texas State a 13.5-point favorite with a -535 moneyline. The Bobcats are the likely winner, but neither price is attractive without confirmed starters, team records, recent results or complete efficiency data. The total of 60.5 carries the same problem, so the betting lean is Pass.
Pick
Texas State Bobcats
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass