NCAAF Predictions

Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Predictions

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 3:30pm EST at Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Oklahoma

Sooners

Spread -2.5
@
Mississippi State

Bulldogs

Spread +2.5
78% 22%
Spread Oklahoma Sooners -2.5 Mississippi State Bulldogs +2.5
Moneyline Oklahoma Sooners -135 Mississippi State Bulldogs +114
Total Over 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 (-105)

Who wins this game?

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Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Injury Questions Point to a Pass

Analysis updated October 23, 2026 at 7:58 AM CDT

The Sooners are the more likely winner, but the available injury news does not justify laying 3 points or paying -170 on the road.

Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State odds

Oklahoma visits Mississippi State on Saturday, October 24, for a 2:30 p.m. local kickoff in Starkville. SPF lists the Sooners as 3-point favorites with a -170 moneyline. Mississippi State is +142, and the total is 46.5.

The price identifies Oklahoma as the likely winner, but neither Sooners option offers much room for error. A three-point victory would push the spread, while the -170 moneyline requires a higher level of confidence than the available injury information supports.

Key availability questions

Oklahoma Sooners On SI / Sports Illustrated reported that running back Tory Blaylock and receiver Parker Livingstone were upgraded to probable, but running back Xavier Robinson was downgraded to doubtful. Offensive linemen Michael Fasusi and Heath Ozaeta remain questionable, while Eddy Pierre-Louis and Ryan Fodje are out. Those offensive line concerns make Oklahoma -3 difficult to back on the road.

Mississippi State also has important decisions pending. Quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell remain questionable, according to the same report. Third and Data, a college football availability tracker, also lists offensive lineman DJ Chester, safety Isaac Smith and linebacker Zakari Tillman as questionable. Taylor's uncertain status makes Mississippi State +3 no more appealing than the Oklahoma side.

Prediction

Oklahoma is the pick to win because SPF has the Sooners favored, and the probable designations for Blaylock and Livingstone are positive updates. The wager is a pass. Oklahoma's offensive line questions weaken the case for laying 3 points, while Mississippi State's uncertainty at quarterback rules out a confident underdog play.

Pick Oklahoma Sooners
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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