UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans Predictions
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 4:00pm EST at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL
Trojans
Professional Picks On This Game
UL Monroe vs. Troy Prediction: Crowder Injury Makes Troy -12.5 a Pass
Analysis updated October 24, 2026 at 8:47 AM CDT
The Trojans are 12.5-point home favorites, but injuries at quarterback and wide receiver weaken the case for laying the points.
Crowder’s status matters at this price
FOX Sports lists Troy quarterback Goose Crowder as questionable with a shoulder injury and wide receiver TK Keyes as doubtful. Those absences could limit the Trojans’ scoring margin, which makes Troy -12.5 difficult to back.
Troy remains the likely winner at home, as its -600 moneyline and UL Monroe’s +440 price indicate. The problem is the wager: bettors must risk $600 to win $100 without confirmation that Troy will have its starting quarterback available.
Why the best bet is a pass
UL Monroe running back Makin Lenard is out for the rest of the season, according to FOX Sports. That hurts the Warhawks’ backfield depth, but there’s no supporting production or replacement information to show how much his absence changes this matchup.
The 49.5 total also depends heavily on Troy’s quarterback situation. With Crowder questionable and no supported score projection, neither side nor the total offers a clear betting edge.