Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Predictions

Vanderbilt's quarterback change favors Kentucky

A Sea Of Blue, a Kentucky sports site, reports that Vanderbilt quarterback Blaze Berlowitz is out and Jared Curtis is the Commodores' QB1. Vanderbilt has nine players ruled out, making an upset harder to trust even at a +340 moneyline.

Kentucky has absences of its own. Edge rusher Sam Greene, wide receiver Nic Anderson and reserve tight end Lincolon Watkins are out, while defensive end Tyler Thomas and long-snapper Cole Marszalek are questionable. Vanderbilt safeties Dontae Carter and Devin Chandler came off the final injury report after being listed as probable Thursday.

The Wildcats cost too much to back

Kentucky is favored by 10.5 points and priced at -440 to win. The quarterback news supports the Wildcats as the likely winner, but the available evidence doesn't show that they should cover a double-digit spread or justify such an expensive moneyline. The total is 52.5, with no reliable scoring data to support an over or under play, so Pass is the prudent betting lean.