Milwaukee
Brewers
Moneyline
+113
MLB Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 6:05pm EST
@
Philadelphia
Phillies
Moneyline
-136
50%
50%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers +113
Philadelphia Phillies -136
Total
Over 7.5 (-118)
Under 7.5 (-102)
Professional Picks
2 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Rich Roth
Money pick
Garrett Perry
Money pick
Brewers vs. Phillies prediction: Starter uncertainty makes -120 a pass
Analysis updated September 24, 2026 at 7:11 AM CDT
Painter's 5.59 ERA warrants caution before backing Philadelphia, while conflicting reports about Wilson prevent a firm pitching comparison.
Pitching questions at Philadelphia's price
Philadelphia's listed starter, Andrew Painter, brings a 5.59 ERA into Thursday's matchup against Milwaukee at Citizens Bank Park. FanDuel Research, FanDuel's sports analysis site, lists Bryse Wilson opposite him with a 3.67 ERA. Those figures give bettors reason to question the Phillies' -120 SPF moneyline, but Wilson's availability needs confirmation.
The game-specific injury report from Bleacher Nation / Data Skrive, a sports news and data reporting source, also lists Wilson on the 15-day injured list with a back issue. That conflicts with his probable-starter listing. Without a confirmed Milwaukee starter, neither Philadelphia at -120 nor the Brewers at +100 offers a supportable wager. The moneyline recommendation is Pass.
Recent hitting offers little separation
Bleacher Nation / Data Skrive reports that both teams hit .234 over their last 10 games, with Milwaukee slugging .366 and Philadelphia .365. The Brewers hit 10 homers to the Phillies' seven, but the nearly identical overall hitting figures don't establish a clear offensive advantage.
SPF sets the total at 8.5, with the over at -102 and the under at -118. Recent hitting alone doesn't establish an edge on that number; without a reliable pitching matchup, the total is also a pass.
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass