Sacramento State Hornets vs Central Michigan Chippewas Predictions
Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 7:30pm EST at Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI
Chippewas
4-5Who wins this game?
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Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan Prediction: Chippewas Favored, but Price Is Too High
Analysis updated November 10, 2026 at 9:07 AM CST
Central Michigan is coming off a 35-7 win, while Sacramento State has shown improvement over its past two games. The Chippewas should win, but the available evidence does not justify laying 18.5 points.
Central Michigan should win, but -1050 offers little value
Central Michigan University Athletics reports that the Chippewas enter Wednesday's home game at 4-5 overall and 2-3 in MAC play, while Sacramento State is 2-8 overall and 1-6 in the conference. Central Michigan also held Eastern Michigan to 177 total yards in a 35-7 win, making the Chippewas the more likely winner.
The SPF moneyline asks bettors to risk -1050 on Central Michigan. That price is too high without broader season statistics or confirmed player availability, so the likely winner isn't an attractive moneyline bet.
Recent results do not settle the 18.5-point spread
Jadyn Glasser has completed 32 of 40 passes for 396 yards and two touchdowns across two starts for Central Michigan. However, the status of Angel Flores remains unclear after an injury. Flores has appeared in seven games and leads the Chippewas with 618 rushing yards.
Sacramento State forced five turnovers in a 31-10 win over Kent State before losing 20-17 to Toledo. Those results make laying 18.5 points less appealing, but two games are not enough to support a bet on the Hornets. With no verified line movement, full season statistics or game-specific availability report, the spread and 43.5 total are passes.