NHL Predictions

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL

Winnipeg

Jets

Moneyline +200
@
Tampa Bay

Lightning

Moneyline -245
50% 50%
Spread Winnipeg Jets +1.5 Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
Moneyline Winnipeg Jets +200 Tampa Bay Lightning -245
Total Over 5.5 (-142) Under 5.5 (+120)

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Jets vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Is the Likely Winner, but Pass at -238

Analysis updated October 29, 2026 at 1:02 AM CDT

The Jets' struggling scorers make Tampa Bay the likely winner, but lineup uncertainty leaves little value in the favorite's price.

Winnipeg's scoring slump favors Tampa Bay

The Winnipeg Free Press reports that the Jets begin a four-game road trip Thursday after six straight losses, including a 5-1 defeat against Florida. Mark Scheifele went without a point in his previous four games, while Kyle Connor scored once in five and Cole Perfetti once in six. Those slumps make Tampa Bay the more likely winner at home.

The same report said Jets coach Scott Arniel was considering lineup changes, but none had been decided. Tampa Bay also has unresolved personnel questions: Yahoo Sports, citing The Hockey News' Lightning coverage, reports that Brandon Hagel is a game-time decision and Zemgus Girgensons will not play.

The favorite's price is too high

SportsPicksForum prices Tampa Bay at -238 and Winnipeg at +195. The Lightning are -1.5 on the puck line, while the total is 5.5 with the over at -142 and the under at +120.

Tampa Bay's official NHL.com preview listed goaltenders from its previous game and said the units could change, so it did not confirm Thursday's starter. With Hagel's availability also unsettled, there isn't enough verified lineup information to justify a -238 moneyline or a puck-line bet. The pick is Tampa Bay to win, but the wager is Pass.

Pick Tampa Bay Lightning
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
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