San Diego
Padres
Moneyline
-173
MLB Predictions
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Predictions
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 3:10pm EST
@
Colorado
Rockies
Moneyline
+143
50%
50%
Spread
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -173
Colorado Rockies +143
Total
Over 11 (-102)
Under 11 (-118)
Professional Picks
9 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Matt O'Brien
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Money pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Money pick
Blake Mitchum
Total pick
Diamond Ray James
Total pick
Stevie March
Money pick
Jonah Black
Total pick
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction: King Gives San Diego the Edge
Analysis updated September 17, 2026 at 5:03 AM CDT
San Diego is the likely winner behind its probable starter. Whether that makes the Padres worth backing depends on the price.
King gives San Diego the advantage
Michael King’s pitching numbers offer the strongest case for San Diego at Coors Field on Thursday. FOX Sports / Associated Press lists King as the Padres’ probable starter with a 3.03 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, against Tanner Gordon’s 5.55 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. That matchup favors the Padres, who are -173 at SPF; Colorado is +143.
The same report has San Diego batting .309 during a 9-1 stretch, while Colorado has gone 1-9 with an 8.04 ERA over its last 10 games. Those results strengthen the case for the Padres’ hitters against Gordon, though a short stretch can't establish their chances of winning.
The betting decision
San Diego is the pick to win, but -173 requires a win probability above 63.4% to break even. The pitching comparison and recent results don't establish that margin precisely enough to recommend a wager. Pass on the moneyline; that doesn't make Colorado a value bet by default.
SPF lists the total at 11, with over -102 and under -118. Colorado’s recent pitching struggles favor scoring, but King’s season numbers argue against assuming both offenses will contribute heavily. With the starters still probable and lineups unconfirmed, pass on the total. A run-line price is unavailable, so that market is also a pass.
Pick
San Diego Padres
Confidence
medium
Betting lean
Pass