Missouri
Tigers
Spread
-5.5
NCAAF Predictions
Missouri Tigers vs Kansas Jayhawks Predictions
Friday, September 11, 2026 at 8:00pm EST at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS
@
Kansas
Jayhawks
Spread
+5.5
50%
50%
Spread
Missouri Tigers -5.5
Kansas Jayhawks +5.5
Moneyline
Missouri Tigers -205
Kansas Jayhawks +170
Total
Over 50.5 (-115)
Under 50.5 (-105)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
7 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Spread pick
Percy Walker
Spread pick
Eli Rothstein
Total pick
Casper Kohke
Total pick
King Jon Sanderson
Spread pick
Wes Salvato
Total pick
Scott Steele
Total pick
Missouri vs. Kansas Prediction: Pass on Tigers at -5.5
Analysis updated September 10, 2026 at 5:15 AM CDT
Missouri rallied to win the last meeting, but that result offers little guidance for Friday's road spread.
The rematch changes venues
Missouri won the previous Border War 42-31 in Columbia after trailing Kansas 21-6 through one quarter, according to the Associated Press. Now the Tigers visit Kansas as 5.5-point favorites at SportsPicksForum. That comeback establishes what happened last time, but it doesn't show whether Missouri can cover on the road with this year's team.
The Associated Press reports that Missouri enters Friday ranked No. 23 after beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff last week. Kansas is coming off consecutive five-win seasons. Those details support a cautious Missouri winner pick, though they don't establish a clear matchup advantage.
Betting outlook
SPF lists Missouri at -205 and Kansas at +170 on the moneyline, with Kansas +5.5 against the spread. Missouri's moneyline requires roughly a 67.2% win probability to break even. Without confirmed starters, injury updates or current team statistics to assess that threshold, the wager is a pass. Those gaps don't make Kansas a value bet either.
The total is 50.5, with over -115 and under -105. The previous meeting produced 73 points, but one game doesn't establish the scoring outlook for this rematch. Pass on the total.
Pick
Missouri Tigers
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass