San José State
Spartans
4-3
Spread
+6
NCAAF Predictions
San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack Predictions
Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 5:00pm EST at Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
@
Nevada Wolf
Pack
Spread
-6
50%
50%
Spread
San José State Spartans +6
Nevada Wolf Pack -6
Moneyline
San José State Spartans +190
Nevada Wolf Pack -230
Total
Over 46.5 (-108)
Under 46.5 (-112)
Professional Picks
2 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Jason Manning
Total pick
Carter Stevenson
Total pick
San José State vs. Nevada Prediction: Quarterback Questions Point to Spartans +6.5
Analysis updated October 24, 2026 at 8:53 AM CDT
Nevada has the stronger rushing matchup, but injuries could leave the Wolf Pack short-handed at quarterback. San José State +6.5 is the lean, while Nevada remains the likely winner.
Nevada's quarterback uncertainty matters at this price
Nevada is a 6.5-point home favorite and -250 on the moneyline, but its quarterback situation makes both prices difficult to back. FOX Sports reports that Carter Jones is unlikely to play because of an arm injury and AJ Bianco is a game-day decision with an ankle injury. That uncertainty could limit Nevada's ability to build the margin needed to cover.
San José State also has a change under center. FOX Sports reports that Daniel Rolovich is expected to make his second consecutive start. The Spartans enter 4-3 overall and 2-1 in Mountain West play, while Nevada is 2-4 and 1-2 in the conference, according to Fubo News game coverage. Those records don't determine the matchup, but they add to the case against laying nearly a touchdown with Nevada.
Nevada can attack on the ground
Nevada's running game is the clearest reason to pick the Wolf Pack to win. Fubo News lists Nevada at 192.8 rushing yards per game, led by Dominic Kelley's 500 yards and four touchdowns. San José State has allowed 146.9 rushing yards per game, so Nevada can reduce the pressure on whichever quarterback plays.
That matchup supports Nevada as the likely winner, but it doesn't justify the -250 moneyline or erase the risk attached to a 6.5-point spread. San José State +6.5 is the lean, with low confidence because both teams have quarterback uncertainty and no confirmed starting lineups were available.
Pick
Nevada Wolf Pack
Projected score
Nevada Wolf Pack 24, San José State Spartans 20
Confidence
low
Betting lean
San José State +6.5