Miami
Marlins
Moneyline
+111
MLB Predictions
Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 9:40pm EST at Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
@
Arizona
Diamondbacks
Moneyline
-133
50%
50%
Spread
Miami Marlins +1.5
Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
Moneyline
Miami Marlins +111
Arizona Diamondbacks -133
Total
Over 9 (-107)
Under 9 (-112)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
6 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Garrett Perry
Money pick
Jonah Black
Money pick
Carlos Nunez
Money pick
Dave Vernin
Total pick
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks: Miami's Bullpen Losses Shape the -133 Price
Analysis updated September 16, 2026 at 5:17 AM CDT
Miami's bullpen absences give Arizona a late-inning angle. They don't establish that the Diamondbacks are worth backing at SPF's -133.
Miami turns to a closer committee
Miami will finish the season without relievers Pete Fairbanks and Anthony Bender, MLB.com reports. Those losses weaken the Marlins' late-inning options and give Arizona a concrete advantage to consider at SPF's -133 moneyline, with Miami priced at +111.
Fairbanks is out with right median nerve irritation, while Bender will undergo surgery. Manager Clayton McCullough said Miami will use a committee in save situations; MLB.com identifies Calvin Faucher and Michael Petersen as apparent high-leverage options. That leaves Miami distributing save chances without two of its established options.
Betting outlook
Arizona Diamondbacks / MLB.com, the club's official site, lists Merrill Kelly as Arizona's pitcher for September 16. Miami's starter and both lineups remain unconfirmed here, so the bullpen news alone doesn't establish Arizona's overall pitching or hitting advantage.
The Diamondbacks are the market favorite, but -133 requires a win rate of about 57.1% to break even. There's no supported estimate that clears that threshold, and missing information doesn't make Miami a value bet. Pass on the moneyline.
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass