New York
Mets
66-78
Moneyline
+113
MLB Predictions
New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Predictions
Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 6:40pm EST at loanDepot park, Miami, Florida
@
Miami
Marlins
72-73
Moneyline
-136
50%
50%
Spread
New York Mets +1.5
Miami Marlins -1.5
Moneyline
New York Mets +113
Miami Marlins -136
Total
Over 7.5 (-114)
Under 7.5 (-106)
Who wins this game?
Professional Picks
5 available
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Money pick
Tom Strickland
Total pick
Phillip Monteith
Spread pick
Vic Diamante
Total pick
Allen Barclay
Total pick
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction: Alcantara Gives Miami the Edge
Analysis updated September 8, 2026 at 5:07 AM CDT
Miami is the winner pick behind probable starter Sandy Alcantara. At -136, the moneyline is a pass.
Alcantara gives Miami the edge
Sandy Alcantara's stronger season numbers give Miami a reason to be favored at SPF's -136 moneyline price against the Mets at +113. FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Alcantara as the probable starter with a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, compared with fellow probable starter Sean Manaea's 4.70 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
The same report puts Miami at 43-30 at home and sixth in MLB with a .326 on-base percentage. Those numbers support picking the Marlins to win, though they don't establish that the price offers value.
Betting view
New York has gone 6-4 over its last 10 games with a .250 batting average and 4.25 ERA. Miami is 4-6 with a .227 average and 5.10 ERA over that stretch. That recent gap tempers the case for paying -136, which requires Miami to win about 57.6% of the time to break even. The moneyline is a pass.
SPF lists Miami at -1.5 runs and the total at 7.5, with over -114 and under -106. The probable starters' season averages alone don't establish a two-run winning margin or a total bet. Pass on both markets.
Pick
Miami Marlins
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass