Oklahoma City
Thunder
0-2
Spread
+4.5
NBA Predictions
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Predictions
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 7:00pm EST at State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
@
Atlanta
Hawks
2-1
Spread
-4.5
50%
50%
Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5
Atlanta Hawks -4.5
Moneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder +154
Atlanta Hawks -185
Total
Over 224.5 (-110)
Under 224.5 (-110)
Professional Picks
2 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Poppi Logan
Spread pick
Jon Dorsey
Spread pick
Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction: Atlanta Favored Against Depleted Oklahoma City
Analysis updated October 12, 2026 at 7:14 AM CDT
Oklahoma City’s long absence list favors Atlanta, but the Hawks’ -325 moneyline and an 8.5-point spread leave little room for preseason uncertainty.
Oklahoma City’s absences favor Atlanta
A same-day Yahoo Sports / OKC Thunder Wire report lists Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso and six other Thunder players as out. Atlanta’s reported probable starters are Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu, while Oklahoma City’s probable group is Bennett Stirtz, Josh Dix, Otega Oweh, Brooks Barnhizer and Aday Mara. Neither lineup is confirmed.
Atlanta enters this preseason game 2-1 after beating Indiana 119-117, with Johnson contributing 20 points and seven rebounds. Oklahoma City is 0-2 following a 128-126 loss to Milwaukee, although Mara’s 22 points and six rebounds in that game give the Thunder a productive option among their probable starters.
Betting verdict
SPF lists Atlanta as an 8.5-point favorite with a -325 moneyline, while Oklahoma City is +260. The available players make the Hawks the more likely winner, but uncertain preseason playing time makes both the expensive moneyline and the spread difficult to back. Oklahoma City is also beginning a road-and-home back-to-back, but that alone doesn’t justify laying 8.5 points.
The total is 224.5, with the over priced at -108 and the under at -112. The evidence doesn’t establish how either team will divide its minutes, so there isn’t a supportable total wager. Pass.
Pick
Atlanta Hawks
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass