New York
Yankees
Moneyline
-106
MLB Predictions
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 9:40pm EST
@
Arizona
Diamondbacks
Moneyline
-113
50%
50%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Moneyline
New York Yankees -106
Arizona Diamondbacks -113
Total
Over 7.5 (-114)
Under 7.5 (-105)
Professional Picks
7 listed
Professional Picks On This Game
Tom Strickland
Money pick
Rich Roth
Spread pick
Wes Salvato
Spread pick
Garrett Perry
Total pick
Blake Mitchum
Spread pick
Stevie March
Total pick
Jonah Black
Total pick
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: Cole’s Home Run Trouble Tests New York at -131
Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 5:15 AM CDT
Arizona’s probable starter Eduardo Rodriguez has the lower season ERA, but New York brings stronger recent results into Friday’s opener at Chase Field.
The pitching matchup
Gerrit Cole has allowed seven home runs across his past two starts, a concern for anyone backing the Yankees at SPF’s -131 moneyline price against Arizona at +109. AOL / New York Post, carrying reporting from the New York newspaper, notes that Cole had a 3.29 ERA over 18 starts before that stretch. His recent trouble matters, but two outings don’t establish that it will continue.
FOX Sports / Associated Press lists Cole and Eduardo Rodriguez as the probable starters. Rodriguez has a 2.62 ERA against Cole’s 3.67, while Cole has the lower WHIP, 1.13 to 1.22. Those measures offer a mixed comparison rather than a clear pitching edge for Arizona.
Winner lean and betting verdict
The same FOX Sports / Associated Press preview puts New York at 7-3 with a plus-18 run differential over its last 10 games, compared with Arizona’s 5-5 and plus-2. The Yankees’ 46-32 road record also supports a slight lean toward New York to win.
AOL / New York Post reports that Aaron Judge’s status is uncertain because of tightness in his lower right leg. His availability could change the assessment of New York’s offense. With that unresolved, the wager is Pass: the evidence doesn’t establish an edge at either moneyline price.
Pick
New York Yankees
Confidence
low
Betting lean
Pass