NBA Predictions

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:00pm EST

New Orleans

Pelicans

Spread -3.5
@
Dallas

Mavericks

Spread +3.5
50% 50%
Spread New Orleans Pelicans -3.5 Dallas Mavericks +3.5
Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans -170 Dallas Mavericks +142
Total Over 229.5 (-115) Under 229.5 (-105)
Professional Picks

Professional Picks On This Game

3 listed
Staff Preview

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction: Dallas Favored, but Pass at -118

Analysis updated October 14, 2026 at 7:17 AM CDT

Dallas has scored and passed better through two preseason games, while New Orleans' rebounding and Dereck Lively II's absence raise the risk for the favorite.

Dallas' passing gives it the edge

CBS Sports reports that Dallas has averaged 124.5 points and 31.0 assists through two preseason games, compared with 117.0 points and 23.0 assists for New Orleans. Cooper Flagg leads the Mavericks with 16.5 points and 5.0 assists per game. That early production makes Dallas the more likely winner, but SPF's -118 moneyline leaves little room for preseason uncertainty.

New Orleans can challenge Dallas inside

The Pelicans have averaged 52.5 rebounds through two preseason games, 10.5 more than the Mavericks. Fubo Sports' same-day game report lists Dallas center Dereck Lively II out with a foot injury and forward Santi Aldama day-to-day with a knee issue. Those availability concerns make New Orleans' rebounding advantage more relevant to the Mavericks' -1.5 spread.

No starters have been confirmed, and no verified same-day New Orleans injury report is available. Without clearer lineup information, neither Dallas -118 nor the 229.5 total offers a strong wager.

Prediction

Dallas is the likely winner at home, but the betting lean is Pass.

Pick Dallas Mavericks
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
Previous Matchups