NFL Predictions

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Predictions

Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 8:15pm EST at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Detroit

Lions

Spread +3
@
Buffalo

Bills

Spread -3
50% 50%
Spread Detroit Lions +3 Buffalo Bills -3
Moneyline Detroit Lions +136 Buffalo Bills -162
Total Over 52.5 (-110) Under 52.5 (-110)
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Lions vs. Bills prediction: Detroit's offensive line injuries favor Buffalo

Analysis updated September 17, 2026 at 5:05 AM CDT

Detroit's confirmed absences give Buffalo the edge in the winner pick. They don't establish value at SPF's Bills -3 or -162 moneyline.

Detroit's offensive line takes two losses

Detroit's offensive line is the clearest concern with Buffalo a 3-point home favorite at SPF. The Detroit Lions ruled out Christian Mahogany with a hip injury and tackle Blake Miller with a knee injury. Those absences reduce Detroit's options up front and make protection a concern, giving Buffalo a low-confidence nod to win.

The Detroit Lions also list cornerback D.J. Reed as questionable with a foot injury. The Buffalo Bills list safety Cole Bishop and defensive lineman T.J. Sanders as questionable, so neither defense's available personnel is settled. Buffalo linebacker Terrel Bernard has no game injury designation despite being limited Wednesday with a calf injury.

Betting outlook

SPF's Buffalo moneyline of -162 requires a win rate of about 61.8% to break even. The injury reports alone don't establish that probability or show that Buffalo should cover -3. Detroit at +136 or +3 isn't an automatic bargain either.

The total is 52.5, with both sides priced at -110. Defensive availability could affect scoring, but there's no supported estimate of either offense's production to justify an over or under. Pass on a wager.

Pick Buffalo Bills
Confidence low
Betting lean Pass
Odds and availability can change. Confirm current markets before placing a wager.
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