Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Predictions
Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 8:15pm EST at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Bills
Professional Picks On This Game
Lions vs. Bills prediction: Detroit's offensive line injuries favor Buffalo
Analysis updated September 17, 2026 at 5:05 AM CDT
Detroit's confirmed absences give Buffalo the edge in the winner pick. They don't establish value at SPF's Bills -3 or -162 moneyline.
Detroit's offensive line takes two losses
Detroit's offensive line is the clearest concern with Buffalo a 3-point home favorite at SPF. The Detroit Lions ruled out Christian Mahogany with a hip injury and tackle Blake Miller with a knee injury. Those absences reduce Detroit's options up front and make protection a concern, giving Buffalo a low-confidence nod to win.
The Detroit Lions also list cornerback D.J. Reed as questionable with a foot injury. The Buffalo Bills list safety Cole Bishop and defensive lineman T.J. Sanders as questionable, so neither defense's available personnel is settled. Buffalo linebacker Terrel Bernard has no game injury designation despite being limited Wednesday with a calf injury.
Betting outlook
SPF's Buffalo moneyline of -162 requires a win rate of about 61.8% to break even. The injury reports alone don't establish that probability or show that Buffalo should cover -3. Detroit at +136 or +3 isn't an automatic bargain either.
The total is 52.5, with both sides priced at -110. Defensive availability could affect scoring, but there's no supported estimate of either offense's production to justify an over or under. Pass on a wager.